Chapter 399 Blood-stained Wool
Super intuition gave Su Ming incredible observation skills. He clearly judged that some people were just allocated the right food, so their emotions were relatively stable, while the other group of people were thinking about more serious and distant issues... They were qualified people.
At this time, if you observe more carefully, you can find that some of the furious guys, after a short period of anger, immediately turn their eyes to the people around them with happy expressions. Some of these people's eyes are complicated, some are sinister, some are vicious, and some are sad and helpless.
The people who were originally ecstatic, after being stared at by those vicious eyes, realized that there was some danger, and quickly restrained their joy, pretending to be helpless and sad.
Human nature was fully exposed at this moment. No one cared about the life or death of others. As long as they could survive, everything was fine. It didn't matter even if the extra resources they occupied would cause more people to starve to death. Those ecstatic guys obviously didn't think there was anything wrong with getting extra food. They had no sympathy or mercy at all.
The only thing that can be seen on their faces is relief... They should be relieved, relieved that they will not be the ones who starve to death in the future.
But who among these people could have imagined that there is more than one way to die?
…
After the number guessing game ended, on the first day, Su Ming met a large group of people who came to his door.
"Mr. Xia! Everyone can think that the best answer to this game is 0, right?! There is no need to hesitate at all. If everyone chooses 0, wouldn't it be an even split? Even if a few people choose other numbers, they can only be at the bottom! But why is it that number?! There is a traitor among us!"
"Yes! There is no reason for a betrayer to live. We are a big family. We must trust each other. The betrayer deserves death!"
"You have to find a way to find those traitors!"
A large group of people in front of him were chattering and shouting, which gave Su Ming a headache. He could understand what these people were thinking and felt quite sympathetic towards them.
But he couldn't possibly follow these people's ideas.
In the number guessing game, according to rational logic, the optimal solution is indeed easy to guess, and the answer is 0.
Because the rule is half the average, anyone with a brain would never guess an answer above 500, because once they guess above 500, there is no chance of winning.
Everyone can perform this level of analysis, so everyone will choose to guess half of 500, which is a number below 250. In this way, with layer upon layer of nesting dolls, the final answer will be infinitely close to 0... This is how it should be.
To describe it in a simple and popular way, this method of further analysis based on the opponent's analysis results is game theory.
However, the ideal situation in game theory is often based on the assumption that both the opponent and oneself are rational, but the reality is not like this.
Su Ming could guess why this situation had occurred. The first possibility was that there were indeed a few idiots among so many people, and these people might be so idiotic that they would choose 500.
But just a few idiots cannot change the final result that the best answer is 0. Even if a hundred idiots choose one thousand and everyone else chooses zero, the person who chooses zero will still win.
So it is obvious that this result is not caused by just a few mentally retarded people, it is very likely caused by some smart people.
It is precisely because of this kind of cleverness that most people who choose 0 suffer badly.
To understand why this happens , we must look at it in context and it requires some imagination.
Suppose there is a team of ten people, one of whom chooses 1000, and five of the other nine choose 2, four choose 1, and when more than 500 people choose 0, the average result is around 1.69.
The batches are directly divided into three. The first batch is the biggest winner who chose 2, followed by those who chose 1, then those who chose 0, and finally the biggest loser 1000.
Judging from the results, nine people in the small group of ten will get a terrifying amount of food, enough to last for a long time, but the one who chooses 1000 will become a victim and can only get a very small portion of the food.
But...is this really the result in reality?
Needless to say, the answer is no.
Based on the current number of missing persons, it can be determined that a large amount of food has fallen into the hands of some of the murderers, and the food accumulated by the murderers is likely to last for ten days.
Su Ming could conclude that the small group that could come up with the idea just now was most likely composed of greedy and cunning people. A little distribution of food would be enough to completely solve the survival problem of the person who chose 1000.
As a result, the reality becomes that a group of bad guys who have not sacrificed any resources have reaped a huge amount of benefits from other innocent people.
The example Su Ming came up with has relatively simple data. The actual situation should be even worse. There should be more people in the groups, more digital layers, and it is very likely that there is more than one such small group.
Therefore, the final numbers of this game became more random. In the ten batches, 1000 became the biggest loser, and most of the people who filled in 0 became the second to last losers.
But Su Ming dared to guarantee that the group of people would never guess that there was another person who used an incredible intuition to fleece all of them and became the first batch of people who were closest to the correct answer.
As expected, Su Ming guessed that he should be the only one in the first batch.
"Everyone, please be quiet. I will try my best to find a solution, but let's not talk about how to deal with the traitor." Su Ming said.
"Why?!"
"They betrayed the big family!" one person shouted loudly. The slogan sounded a little strange, even a little funny, but at this time, the other party shouted it very seriously.
"It must be severely punished! This is the rule you said in the beginning!"
"But how do we determine who is a traitor and who is not?" Su Ming asked back.
"I saw it. I saw Shi Kang and his wife looking very happy! They must be traitors!"
"I know a few people too, they must have gotten a lot of food!"
"Me too, me too. These people must be punished! The answer is so simple and can be figured out with a little brainpower. Why don't they choose it!"
The crowd was chattering like flies buzzing in the toilet, and red-faced faces were swaying in front of Su Ming. They gathered around the desk, supporting themselves with their hands, their saliva almost spraying on Su Ming's face, while Su Ming folded his hands on his abdomen, his expression calm and composed.
"But some people are just guessing. Some people may have taken a lot of food and hidden among you?" Su Ming asked casually.
"Why not let that person come and take a look! That... that... um... yes! That Mr. Zhou!"
"Ha, you still remember him, but what if he also got a lot of food?" Su Ming sneered.
The group of people in front of him suddenly became quiet. After a few seconds of silence, the crowd began to whisper.
