Chapter 424 The Eve of the Storm
The short-term data are highly consistent, which basically shows that there are no major problems with the short-term weather forecasts on both sides.
But in the long run, a small gap can have a very big impact.
It's like 1.01 and 0.99, two numbers that seem to be very close in difference.
After multiple exponential operations, the results can be very different.
After seeing the data submitted by Suanjing and Vulture began to discuss the topic on major social platforms.
"Both the arithmetic and the vulture predict that it will be sunny tomorrow. It looks like we can go out and play without any worries tomorrow."
"The maximum temperature forecast is one degree Celsius different, which shouldn't be a big difference."
"It looks like it's much more professional than the usual weather forecast. I wonder if they can keep this data public in the future so we don't have to look at the weather forecast."
According to the standards drawn up by both parties, the weather forecast data that needs to be submitted includes daily temperature range, weather conditions (sunny, rainy, snowy, cloudy, etc.), wind direction and wind speed, etc.
More specifically, it is also necessary to provide the temperature at each moment, when it rains, the amount of rainfall, etc.
What attracts everyone's attention is.
There are very big differences between the 24-hour weather forecasts of certain locations by Suanjing and Vulture.
And one of those positions is Leatherwinie.
Reservine is a small country in Europe. If it weren't for the fact that the leader of this country likes to show off, many people would not know about this tiny place.
In the weather forecast for Leatherwinie tomorrow, Vulture gave a clear sunny day.
But the sutra says the opposite, predicting that there will be a heavy rainstorm in Reserwinie, and there is even a high possibility of some flood disasters.
It is extremely unusual that two quantum computers could come up with completely opposite predictions about the weather over just a 24-hour period.
You have to know that among the 5% difference in predictions between two quantum computers within 24 hours, most of the differences are very small.
For example, the temperature forecast differs by 1 degree Celsius, the wind speed differs by one level, and so on.
It is rare to see such completely opposite weather forecasts.
Because the area of Reserwinie itself is very small, not even as big as one of our provinces, the weather conditions in almost all cities within their territory are similar.
After learning the news, the people of Reisewinie were the first to stand up.
"I heard that the Chinese arithmetic predicted that we would have a heavy rainstorm today? What a joke! Right now, the sky is still clear here, and there is no sign of a heavy rainstorm at all."
"Are they using their feet to make a weather forecast system? Even I can see with my eyes that it will definitely be a sunny day today. The weather forecast of the United States is more accurate. It is our partner."
"Haha, we've been experiencing drought for a long time this year, and we're looking forward to the next rain. If there's such a heavy rain, I'll live-stream myself washing my hair while standing upside down on Twitter. If it doesn't rain, I'll smash my arithmetic."
Most of the people in Reisewinie regard the predictions of the astrology as a joke.
This is not only because the weather here is indeed cloudless and it doesn't look like it's going to rain at all.
At the same time, it is also because they maintain a high degree of consistency with the United States in all aspects.
Deep down, they definitely believe in the US weather forecast more.
After checking the weather forecast data published by Vulture, Xu You also discovered that their weather forecasts for Retherwinie were different.
"Sure enough, even with the vulture's computing power, it still hasn't calculated to this level." Xu Youxin said.
The heavy rain that is about to occur in Reserwinie is an unusual heavy rain.
According to normal weather forecast models, it is difficult to predict a heavy rain within an hour before it begins.
Because from a certain perspective, these data do not meet the conditions for producing heavy rain .
But after taking them all together and undergoing deep and complex calculations, we can draw a conclusion.
This heavy rain was bound to happen.
…
IBM, Vulture quantum computer project team.
"Will there really be a heavy rainstorm in the next 24 hours in Leisewnie?"
"We have communicated with Google researchers and the possibility of this is almost zero . Their weather forecast model is very accurate, with an accuracy rate of more than 99 percent for 24-hour weather forecasts. Even if the forecast is biased, it is unlikely to be such a serious deviation."
"But why do their quantum computers have completely different predictions from ours?"
Even if IBM had more confidence in its vultures, it would not believe that such a serious mistake would occur in the algorithm.
"This... maybe there is a bug in their program. Even the local residents of Resewnie don't believe that there will be a heavy rain there today."
"That's true. Let's wait until tomorrow and we'll know whether it will rain there or not."
Somehow, the people in IBM's Vulture project team still felt that something was wrong.
From the performance of the previous generation of islands, we can see the leap China has made in scientific and technological strength.
In any case, their next generation of quantum computers is not likely to be prone to bugs so easily.
At eight o'clock in the morning, Xu You and the entire mathematics project team held a meeting to discuss weather forecasts.
"From the current situation, Suanjing's score is slightly ahead of Vulture. Suanjing's performance is very stable, and Vulture did not make any mistakes. The most critical part today is to see the weather results in the Reservine area."
According to the weather forecast of Suanjing, the heavy rain will start at around 12 noon today, Jijing time.
There are still four hours before the heavy rain arrives.
Then, Xu You began to analyze the reasons behind the prediction of the weather for Lesewinie today.
"In Suanjing's weather forecast model, rainfall is mainly caused by the following conditions."
"The first is the water vapor condition. Water vapor is the source of rainfall. The heavy rain in Reserwinie four hours later came from the ocean to the west."
Xu You displayed a series of model formulas and corresponding weather maps on the big screen, simulating the weather changes in the next few hours.
"The second condition is the dynamic condition. The abundant water vapor supply is equivalent to providing sufficient raw materials, but it is not enough to form rainfall. In addition, there must be continuous and strong upward movement. From here to here, the entire range is a high vertical velocity area. This range also happens to overlap with the territory of Reserwinie."